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August 3 - August 9, 2026

The Fine Print Beat the Policy — The RBI Held the Repo at 5.25% and the Nifty Moved Nine Points, Then an Unscheduled Draft NBFC Circular Took 5.84% Off Bajaj Finance; Nifty +0.77% to 24,571, Sensex +0.52% to 78,499 as a US Jobs Shock Sent Gold, Silver and the Nasdaq Flying

Cautiously Optimistic

This was a week in which the event everyone had circled in their diary changed nothing, and one almost nobody was watching changed a great deal. The Nifty 50 rose 0.77% to 24,570.65 (+187.05 points from 24,383.60) and the Sensex 0.52% to 78,499.17 (+404.53 points) — a second consecutive up week, and a modest one. The shape mattered more than the total: Monday alone delivered more than double the week’s gain, as Brent fell over 8% to about $82.84 on news of renewed US–Iran talks, lifting the Nifty 390.70 points (+1.60%) to 24,774.30 with the Nifty IT index up 3.28% to 31,715 and Bank Nifty up 1.72% to 58,247.95. From that high the index drifted for four sessions to close 204 points below it. On Wednesday 5 August the Monetary Policy Committee held the repo rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance, exactly as expected, Governor Sanjay Malhotra wanting greater clarity on inflation before acting — and the Nifty moved 9.75 points on the day. Then on Thursday the same regulator published draft amendments to the RBI (NBFC) Directions, 2025, proposing that non-banking financial companies offer only term loans and discontinue revolving credit products, with feedback open until 28 August. Bajaj Finance fell 5.84% on Friday, Bajaj Finserv 3.70% and ICICI Bank 2.50%, while TCS (+3.36%), Grasim (+3.20%) and Hindalco (+3.17%) absorbed the money that left them. Globally the story was bigger: US employers cut 23,000 jobs in July and unemployment rose to 4.1%, and on that bad news the S&P 500 closed at a record 7,757.64 (+3.6% on the week), the Nasdaq gained 5.2% to 26,690.62, gold rose about 6.6% into the $4,350–4,410 region (its best week since January) and silver surged roughly 11.6% past $64. India, which beat the US over both the week and the month a fortnight ago, captured a fraction of this one — which is what a genuinely diversified portfolio looks like from the inside. India VIX closed at 12.15, the rupee was quiet near ₹95.20, Brent ended near $82 (about 7% lower on the week) and bitcoin near $64,940. NSDL finalised July FPI equity inflows at ₹20,199 Cr, the first positive month after four of selling. The quietest news mattered most to fund investors: India’s Closing Auction Session went live on 3 August, so the closing price of every F&O-eligible stock — and therefore the number your NAV is struck at — now comes from a 20-minute auction beginning at 3:15 PM rather than the last half-hour of continuous trading. Your SIP date, NAV cut-off timings and holdings are all unchanged. (Figures are as of the Friday 7 August close; items that could not be independently cross-verified are stated approximately or omitted.)

Key Points This Week

  • 1
    Nifty +0.77% WoW to 24,570.65 (+187.05 pts) and Sensex +0.52% to 78,499.17 — a second straight up week, with Monday (+390.70 pts, +1.60% to 24,774.30) delivering more than double the week’s entire gain
  • 2
    The RBI held the repo rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance on Wednesday 5 August, exactly as expected, and the Nifty moved 9.75 points — the most previewed event of the month was a non-event
  • 3
    Thursday’s unscheduled draft NBFC circular (term loans only, no revolving credit; public feedback until 28 August) drove Bajaj Finance −5.84%, Bajaj Finserv −3.70% and ICICI Bank −2.50% on Friday, while TCS +3.36%, Grasim +3.20% and Hindalco +3.17% led the other way
  • 4
    Bad news was good news abroad: US payrolls fell 23,000 in July with unemployment at 4.1%, and the S&P 500 closed at a record 7,757.64 (+3.6% wk), the Nasdaq +5.2% to 26,690.62, gold +6.6% (best week since January) and silver +11.6% past $64
  • 5
    India’s Closing Auction Session went live 3 August: closing prices for F&O stocks now come from a 20-minute 3:15 PM auction, changing how NAVs are struck — but changing nothing an investor needs to do
  • 6
    Brent ~$82 (−7% wk after Monday’s 8% collapse) · India VIX 12.15 · rupee ~₹95.20 · bitcoin ~$64,940 · FPI July inflows finalised at ₹20,199 Cr (NSDL)

SIP Investor Advice

Three things happened this week that all teach the same lesson: the most heavily previewed Indian event of the month moved the index nine points, an unscheduled draft circular took nearly 6% off a major constituent in a session, and the best week for global markets since April was triggered by bad economic news. The relationship between headlines and prices is neither reliable enough nor fast enough to invest on — which is precisely the case for a boring monthly instalment into a diversified portfolio. Keep your SIPs running, do not sell a fund because of a consultation paper that is not yet a rule, and do not add gold or silver simply because they have already risen 6.6% and 11.6% in five sessions. If your allocation feels like it depends on getting the next announcement right, that is worth an unhurried review with your Relationship Manager.

Full 3-page Weekly Market Brief for this week — Issue 23 · 1.02 MB

Market data shown is illustrative/sample only. Not real-time. All information is for educational purposes and should not be construed as investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.

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