Topic 9 of 9~5 min read

Inflation-Adjusted SIP Planning

Definition

Inflation-adjusted SIP planning accounts for the decrease in purchasing power of money over time. While your SIP corpus may grow to ₹1 Crore in 20 years, the real value of that ₹1 Crore (what it can buy) will be significantly less due to inflation. Planning for inflation ensures your future wealth actually meets your future needs.

In Simple Words

If inflation is 6% per year, something that costs ₹100 today will cost ₹321 in 20 years. So if you need ₹50,000/month today for expenses, you will need ₹1,60,357/month in 20 years for the same lifestyle. Your SIP planning must account for this. The real return on your investment is: Nominal Return - Inflation Rate. If your fund returns 12% and inflation is 6%, your real return is approximately 6%.

Real-Life Scenario

Sanjay plans for retirement in 20 years. Current monthly expense: ₹50,000. Without inflation planning: Target corpus at 12% return: ₹99.9 Lakhs (₹10,000/month SIP) This seems enough... but it is NOT. With 6% inflation planning: Future monthly expense: ₹1,60,357 Corpus needed for 25-year retirement: ₹3.20 Crore Required monthly SIP: ₹32,000/month If Sanjay only planned ₹10,000/month, he would face a retirement shortfall of over ₹2 Crore.

Key Points to Remember

Inflation erodes purchasing power — ₹1 Crore in 20 years ≠ ₹1 Crore today
India's average inflation: 5-7% over the last decade
Real return = Nominal return - Inflation rate
Always plan SIP goals in inflation-adjusted (real) terms
Healthcare inflation in India: 10-15% (higher than general inflation)
Education inflation in India: 10-12%
Step-up SIP partially offsets inflation impact
Use inflation-adjusted calculator for realistic goal planning

Formula

Future Value with Inflation:
Future Cost = Present Cost × (1 + inflation)^years

Real Rate of Return:
Real Return = [(1 + Nominal Return) / (1 + Inflation)] - 1

Example: Nominal 12%, Inflation 6%
Real Return = (1.12 / 1.06) - 1 = 5.66%

Frequently Asked Questions

Test Your Knowledge

1 questions to check your understanding

Question 1 of 1Score: 0/0

If nominal return is 12% and inflation is 6%, what is the approximate real return?

Summary Notes

Never plan SIP goals without accounting for inflation

Your actual wealth-building rate is the real return, not nominal

Education and healthcare inflate faster than general prices

Step-up SIP is essential to keep pace with inflation

Review and increase SIP amounts annually to maintain purchasing power

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